European Association for Public Administration Accreditation


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June 19 - June 23, 2023
Data Protection Certification Course

June 26 - June 26, 2023
Shaping the New World of Work

June 27 - June 28, 2023
Competitive Dialogue and Negotiated Procedures

September 6 - September 7, 2023
ICSD 2023

September 18 - September 20, 2023
Performance Auditing of ESIF and RRF Co-Funded Investments Carried out by the European Court of Audi

September 26 - September 27, 2023
Introduction to EU Asylum and Migration Law

October 3 - October 3, 2023
EU Law Resources on the Web

October 17 - October 20, 2023
Introductory and Practitioners’ Seminar: European Public Procurement Rules, Policy and Practice

October 17 - October 19, 2023
Evaluation and Monitoring of EU Structural and Cohesion Funds Programmes

October 25 - October 26, 2023
Fundamental Rights in the European Union

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EVENTS from Other Institutions

Introduction to Strategic Foresight

From Anticipating Surprise to Robust Strategy

June 5, 2023 - June 6, 2023

Venue: Online

Organizer(s): European Institute of Public Adminstration (EIPA)

Language: English

Contact: Programme Organiser
Ms Eveline Hermens
Tel: +31 43 3296259

Info link: https://www.eipa.eu/courses/strategic-foresight/

Policy makers have massive problems imagining that things could be different, and this can easily lead – and in the past it often has – to policy failure. Strategic policy planning often relies on prognoses, expert judgement, or at best ideas of how the future will develop over the mid- to long-term which lacks complexity. Plausible imaginations of structural changes such as geopolitical shifts, technological breakthroughs, political upheavals, wars and conflicts, economic crises, and pandemics are essential for planning and shaping the future successfully. Looking back at the past few years, we see many events and their subsequent consequences that took us by surprise. Notably, politics could only react these events under great stress, with enormous expenditure of resources, and with critical delays. If such unplanned futures were anticipated in time, we would have been better prepared and able to react.

Strategic Foresight is a toolbox that can be used by policy makers – to envision alternative developments to avoid surprises and to prepare for, or even successfully shape, the future. Although most policymakers have heard of scenarios, horizon scanning, and megatrends, their understanding is often insufficient to select the right tools for their specific planning problem. In particular, if policy planners want to enlist external help in conducting a foresight project, they need to have enough expertise to formulate a tailored request for a proposal (RFP).

This course will equip participants with the relevant knowledge about the most essential foresight tools, how these tools can be combined and what it takes to implement them. Participants will learn about explorative scenarios, horizon scanning, megatrends, Delphi analysis, and wild cards. More importantly, participants will learn how to make foresight products that are useful for policy planning, by transforming foresights into strategic foresight.

What will you learn:

Understand the nature, benefits, and limitations of strategic foresight – Get an overview about the entire foresight toolbox.
Gain a deeper understanding of the scenario methodology
Get a better understanding of how to use strategic foresight in policy planning and decision-making.